Thursday, May 7, 2009

Why Cisco can't call a bottom: Customers are still reeling

Cisco’s third quarter earnings of 30 cents a share excluding items topped Wall Street estimates by 5 cents a share. Revenue of $8.2 billion was down 16.6 percent from a year ago. The takeaway: Cisco has been savvy about managing its costs. Chambers noted that the company is close to exceeding its “stress goal” of lowering its annual expenses by $1.5 billion.

Nevertheless, Cisco’s outlook for the fourth quarter was better than expected. JMP Securities analyst Samuel Wilson said that Cisco quarter was like putting air into a flat tire. When a rebound does eventually occur Cisco will be rolling.

Cisco’s third quarter earnings were solid courtesy of savvy expense management, but CEO John Chambers refrained from calling a bottom. A deep dive into Cisco’s customer trends reveal why: Most of the company’s growth markets—India, emerging markets and advanced technologies–are still reeling.

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